As we are in the heart of the busiest season for housing, home-sellers are withholding.
According to a survey conducted by Redfin, a national real estate brokerage reported that new listings in April fell 1.1 percent from a year ago. Although this may seem like a lot, however, the amount of houses for sale are very low and demand for homes extremely high, the percentage drop in the new listings is surprising and undesirable. This is simply because it has less to do with a buyer demand and more to do with seller anxiety.
“Trade-up buyers seem to be losing their mojo heading into the heart of the spring selling season,” said Redfin chief economist Nela Richardson. “Repeat buyers tend to list early because they are most often also looking for another home to buy in the near future. A slowdown in new listings reflects a lack of confidence on the part of the homeowner that they can find a desirable home to purchase.”
Suppliers are now facing a problem which consequently feeds on itself, especially in best housing markets including Vancouver and Toronto. According to Redfin, some places cities as have suffered year-to-year losses in sales of more than a 10% decline in new listings.
Prices have increased prior to the tight supply, however, nationally at least, those advances have reached a maximum point. Moreover, April continued a now three-month streak where home-price growth fell below the 12 month average of 5.6 percent.
But prices are still soaring in the tightest markets. As of March 2016, the average house price in Canada jumped from 15% to $508,567. Sales activity rose 12.2 per cent from one year ago and set a new record for the month. March is typically popular for home sales as the weather warms up, but this year’s figure came in 14.2 per cent above the 10-year average for the month.
“It’s no surprise that in a month when the San Francisco Bay Area’s median home sale price hit a record high the region also logged a year-over-year decline in sales, which remained well below the long-term average,” said Andrew LePage, research analyst with CoreLogic. “Low mortgage rates, job growth, and other drivers have stoked demand, but the supply of homes for sale — especially in the low to middle price ranges — hasn’t kept pace, leaving many would-be buyers struggling with a thin and increasingly expensive inventory.”
the national numbers have been skewed by hot markets in Toronto and Vancouver.
“If these two housing markets are excluded from calculations, the average is a more modest $366,950 and the year-over-year gain is reduced to 10.4 per cent,” CREA said.
However, the overall market has received little help from homebuilders who are increasing their level of production but still doesn’t match up to the levels of the current or historical demand. Builders claim that the high costs of land, labor and increased regulation are the main factors for the slow recovery in construction.